Science
Uncertainty
Uncertainty is treated as decision information, not as a footnote.
Scientific question
When is the available evidence sufficient for a defensible groundwater decision, and which additional observation would reduce uncertainty most?
Methods and evidence
Combine predictive uncertainty, evidence density, source diversity, validation history and sensitivity to missing observations.
Expected scientific outputs
- Confidence estimates
- Data-sufficiency indicators
- Uncertainty intervals
- Next-best observation recommendations
Limits and safeguards
A numerical confidence score is only meaningful when its calibration and evidence basis are documented.